The Playoff Odds
The Phillies have a three-game lead over the Braves with 14 games to play.
Baseball Prospectus likes this. It gives the Phillies a 97.7 percent chance to make the playoffs, and a 79.2 percent chance to win the division. It gives the Braves a 77.8 percent chance to make the playoffs, and a 20.8 percent chance to win the division.
Looking around the rest of the league:
- Reds: 97.8 percent chance to make the playoffs.
- Giants: 54.4 percent.
- Padres: 40.9 percent.
- Rockies: 28.8 percent.
- Cardinals: 2.5 percent.
Sports Illustrated’s Joe Sheehan tells us why home-field advantage isn’t the advantage it’s supposed to be in the playoffs.