Taking A Run at .500
If the Phillies could have played at their post-All-Star break pace the entire season they would be leading the NL Wild Card race.
Of course, they’re not.
Could the Phillies defy the odds and make a run at a Wild Card? Don’t bet on it. Consider for a second the Cardinals hold the second Wild Card spot with a 70-57 (.551) record. They are on pace to win 89 games. If they keep that pace the Phillies would need to finish 28-6 (.824) just to tie. I know, I know, the Rays and Cardinals made up big deficits last season. True, but they only had to chase down one team. The Phillies would have to get cooperation from the Braves, Cardinals, Dodgers, Pirates and Diamondbacks, the other teams leading them in the Wild Card standings.
I think a better pursuit is finishing the season with a winning record. If the Phillies play at their post-trade deadline pace they will finish 81-81. I think the best hope for the Phillies at this point is maintain their current pace (or maybe play a little bit better), finish the season with a winning record and feel a little better about retooling for next season.