Five Back, 21 to Play
So the Phillies beat the Marlins last night to move within five games of the Cardinals in the National League Wild Card race with 21 games to play.
The Phillies are 16-6 (.727) since Aug. 17, which is the best record in the National League. The Brewers, who also have moved within five games, are 16-7 in that stretch, while the Cardinals are 11-11. St. Louis has 21 games to play. If they finish 11-10 they will be 86-76.
The Phillies would need to finish 16-5 (.762) to tie.
So they’re in it, but they’re still pretty far on the outside. They still need to continue to play really well, and they really need the Cardinals to continue their stumble. The Cardinals have lost 9 of their last 15 games. It would be a huge help (obviously) if that continued. If the Cardinals finish 9-12 for an 84-78 record, the Phillies could then go 14-7 to tie.
Check out yesterday’s post for a look at the contenders’ remaining schedules.
The Phillies have the right attitude right now. Don’t worry about the Wild Card standings. Just worry about tonight’s game. Again, like I wrote yesterday, for the Phillies to finish 16-5 they essentially need to win every three-game series the rest of the way and sweep the Astros in their four-game series this weekend. Lose just one series and the Phillies are forced to sweep another three-games series (or two).
It’s going to be tough, but at least baseball is relevant again.